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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min2-6 h1-4 Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-203-86-30 Experten2-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
RiskRoot causeSafety
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Root causeSafetyIncident
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