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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
3-206-30 Experten3-121-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ChangeDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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