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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |