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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | EstimationExpertsForecasting |