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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Cost of Delay with its method-specific working model.
Delivery
Cost of Delay
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 Wochen90-180 minHalf day
Participantsdifferent
3-206-30 Experten3-83-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCoD Table, Prioritization SequenceStress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
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