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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile Bucket System |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |