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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of the Lightning Decision Jam working structure.
Facilitation
Decision Jam
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min60-90 min15-45 min2-8 h
Participantsdifferent
3-204-101-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsProblem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, ExperimentPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
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