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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Red Teaming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 60-180 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 4-20 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Challenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionSensemaking |