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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min2-6 h2-6 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-203-83-83-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
RiskRoot causeSafety
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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