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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-202-81-61-5
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryCompleted Experiment Canvas, Success Metric
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
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