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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 45-60 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |