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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Test Card with four fields for hypothesis, test, metric, and success threshold.
Product Discovery
Test Card
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.The Test Card turns a critical assumption into a testable claim and specifies in advance which result counts as success.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-60 min20-35 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-202-81-5Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingTest Card with a pre-set thresholdClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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