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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 45-60 min | 45-75 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery |