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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-60 min1-4 Wochen1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
3-202-81-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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