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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min10-20 min daily15-45 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-2011-83-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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