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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
5-20 min1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-201-64-12 Experten6-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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