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| Criterion |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |  Growth A/B Testing |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 5-20 min | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-20 | 1-6 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortRisk | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |