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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-202-51-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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