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Criterion
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowHighLow
Timedifferent
5-20 min15-30 min1-4 Wochen1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-202-61-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsRoot cause notes, CountermeasuresExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortRisk
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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