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Criterion
Paper illustration for DMAIC.
Operations
DMAIC
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Purposedifferent
For a process problem with fluctuating performance, the method brings analysis and improvement into a disciplined sequence. It creates a framework in which numbers, causes, and control come together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
2-12 Wochen10-30 min je Item30-90 min Setup, danach laufend15-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-101-81-81-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Project Charter, Measurement Plan, Cause Analysis, Control PlanThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
Continuous improvementQualityProcess improvement
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingFlowDelivery
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
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