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Criterion
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Monte Carlo Forecasting.
Delivery
Monte Carlo Forecasting
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-2 h30-90 min Setup, danach laufend15-60 min je Zyklus45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-81-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportForecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk CommunicationSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ForecastingFlowDelivery
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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