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Criterion
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Counter Metrics with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
Counter Metrics
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowLow
Timedifferent
1-2 h1-4 Wochen30-60 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
2-86-30 Experten2-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesCounter Metric List, Guardrail DefinitionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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