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Criterion
Paper illustration for Diary Study.
UX Research
Diary Study
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Purposedifferent
When experiences build up over days or weeks and a single session cannot capture them, Diary Study records the course of everyday life. Recurring triggers, moods, and habits become visible this way, beyond the sharpness of memory.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen60-120 min20–45 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
5-203-10Small cross-functional group3-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Diary Entries, Longitudinal Patterns, Experience TimelineFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response Actions
Tagsno overlap
UX researchTrackingBehavior
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
FailureResilienceRisk
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