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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile WSJF |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many tasks compete for the same capacity, it orders work by economic impact. It makes time lost, benefit, and effort comparable together. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 60-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-10 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ranked Backlog, Cost-of-Delay Assumptions | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanEconomicsSequencePrioritization | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |