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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of System Dynamics Simulation with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics Simulation
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Stock and Flow Diagram method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Stock and Flow Diagram
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 WochenMehrere Tage bis Wochen1-3 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron2-81-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSimulation Model, Scenario ReportsGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesStock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking
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