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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Business Strategy Balanced Scorecard |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | Balanced Scorecard translates strategy into a few interconnected perspectives and metrics. It holds impact, steering, and learning together in daily work instead of narrowing strategy down to financial figures. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20–45 min | Halber Tag bis mehrere Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Small cross-functional group | 4-12 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Balanced Scorecard, Strategic Measures, Initiative Map | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | StrategyMetricsExecution | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |