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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of KPI Tree with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
KPI Tree
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Goal Question Metric with its method-specific working model.
Engineering
Goal Question Metric
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When metrics across the organization drift apart, it arranges drivers and effects under one shared logic. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a KPI tree and owner list.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.Helps clarify technical problems, hypotheses, and next steps in concrete terms. It breaks a technical problem into testable parts. The result is captured as a GQM table and metric briefs.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen90-180 min initial, dann laufend45-90 min90-180 min
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-82-83-6
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesKPI Tree, Owner ListAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanGQM Table, Metric Profiles
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
MetricsStrategyAlignmentMeasurement
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
MetricsMeasurementEngineeringAlignment
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