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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Engineering Kanban |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Ongoing | Half day | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-12 | 3-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FlowVisual managementDelivery | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | ForecastingFlowDelivery |