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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 45-90 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs | SensemakingDecisionRationale |