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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy GIST Planning |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | GIST Planning helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities. It links customer value, product logic, and decision priorities, and captures the result as goals, an idea bank, and a step-project list. | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Wochen bis Monate je Goal | 30-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Goals, Idea bank, Step-project list, Tasks, Learning reports | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RoadmapOutcomesPlanningExperiments | DecisionTreeOptions | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments |