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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth Flywheel |  Growth Pirate Metrics AARRR |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth. | For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 60-120 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment Backlog | AARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthRetentionConversion | GrowthMetricsExperiments |
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