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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling Event Modeling |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Event Modeling connects business workflows with commands, events, and views into one coherent mental model. It helps design behavior, UI, and technical slices from the same underlying logic. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h | 1-5 Tage | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Event Model, UI Flow, Commands, Read Models | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EventsBlueprintDomain-Driven DesignBehavior | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio |