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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Decision Matrix |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Trade-off Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When several options collide with several criteria, comparison quickly becomes subjective. A Decision Matrix makes the trade-off visible and brings weighting, criteria, and options into a shared logic. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | With limited resources, quality, speed, cost, and risk almost always compete with each other. Trade-off Analysis makes these tensions explicit and prevents decisions from producing hidden side effects. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 30-90 min | 45-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Decision Matrix, Scoring Rationale, Selected Option | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Trade-off Matrix, Criteria List, Decision Rationale, Accepted Downsides |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionCriteriaScoringTradeoffs | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | TradeoffsDecisionCriteriaOptions |