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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Product Discovery Riskiest Assumption Test |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min | 1-2 Wochen pro Iteration | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Prioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |