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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Constraint Analysis |  Systems Thinking System Dynamics Simulation |  Systems Thinking Stock and Flow Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped. | System Dynamics Simulation makes assumptions about time, delay, and feedback testable through experiments. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a simulation model and scenario reports. | A Stock and Flow Diagram shows how stocks, inflows, and outflows shape a system over time. It is especially suited when growth, delays, or capacity limits determine the dynamics. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 1-5 Modellierende, Stakeholder asynchron | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Constraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries | Simulation Model, Scenario Reports | Stock and Flow Model, Dynamics Notes, Simulation Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions | Systems thinkingDynamicsSimulationAnalysis | DynamicsSimulationFeedbackSystems thinking |