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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Causal Loop Diagram workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Systems Thinking
Causal Loop Diagram
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-90 min1-3 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-82-83-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision BoundariesCausal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage PointsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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