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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Consensus Workshop |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When a group needs a solid decision without outvoting individual factions, a Consensus Workshop creates a negotiable common ground. It makes agreement, reservations, and open tensions discussable at the same time. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 5-30 | 1-8 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Consensus Clusters, Theme Titles, Priority Areas | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | FacilitationConsensusWorkshopAlignment | ForecastingFlowDelivery | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |