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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.For an acute quality or delivery problem, the method structures immediate protection and root cause work together. It keeps the situation stable while the actual cause is investigated cleanly.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen45-90 min1-6 Wochen2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten2-84-103-10
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan8D Report, Containment Plan, Root Cause Evidence, Corrective Action PlanFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
QualityProblem solvingRoot cause
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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