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Selected:Delphi MethodARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)Counter MetricsAssumption Mapping
| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) |  Product Strategy Counter Metrics |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | When a headline metric could mask side effects, it adds guardrail signals against unwanted outcomes. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as a counter-metric list and guardrail definitions. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 30-60 min | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | Counter Metric List, Guardrail Definitions | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | MetricsMeasurementStrategyExperiments | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |