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Selected:Delphi MethodARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)Causal Loop DiagramCurrent Reality Tree
| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 1-3 h | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |