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Selected:Delphi MethodARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs)Causal Factor AnalysisCausal Loop Diagram
| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Architecture ARID (Active Reviews for Intermediate Designs) |  Operations Causal Factor Analysis |  Systems Thinking Causal Loop Diagram |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | ARID examines how well developers can work with a technical design. It focuses on a part of the system that can still be revised, between the architecture overview and the detailed specification. | For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events. | A Causal Loop Diagram makes feedback, reinforcement, and balance in a system legible. It uncovers side effects and self-reinforcement that stay hidden in linear explanations. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 2–4 h review as a planning range; preparation and evaluation additional | 2-6 h | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Designers, developers as users, and facilitation | 3-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritized development tasks, Jointly produced code or pseudocode, Observed difficulties and open design questions, Proposed design revisions | Event Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions | Causal Loop Diagram, Feedback Notes, Leverage Points |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ArchitectureEngineeringFeedbackValidationTasks | CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline | FeedbackSystems thinkingCausalityDynamics |