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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 2-4 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |