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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration of a two-by-two Ansoff Matrix with four growth directions
Business Strategy
Ansoff Matrix
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen30-90 min45-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten3-122-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsAnsoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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