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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth A/B Testing |  Growth Pirate Metrics AARRR |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | For products with complex usage paths, overall growth alone is too coarse to reveal bottlenecks. Pirate Metrics breaks the relationship with the product into consecutive stages and shows where the funnel actually leaks. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | AARRR funnel, Metric baseline, Experiment backlog | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | GrowthMetricsExperiments | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |