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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Growth A/B Testing |  Business Strategy Ansoff Matrix |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | The Ansoff Matrix organizes growth options by market and product relation. It helps weigh expansion, diversification, and adaptation cleanly against each other. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Async | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | Ansoff Matrix, Growth Options, Risk Notes | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | GrowthStrategyMarketPortfolio | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |