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| Criterion |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Delivery Value Stream Mapping |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | When delivery work dissolves into wait times, handoffs, and hidden effort, Value Stream Mapping makes the actual flow visible. The method exposes bottlenecks, idle time, and feedback loops so lead time and improvement levers become tangible. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 1-3 h | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 4-10 | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Current-state map, Future-state map, Bottleneck list | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication |
Tagsno overlap | DecisionTreeOptions | LeanFlowWasteDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ForecastingFlowDelivery |