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| Criterion |  Decision Making Decision Tree |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Engineering Kanban |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | When work sits in too many parallel streams, throughput suffers and no one sees the bottlenecks. Kanban makes the flow of work visible and limits overload so a system becomes calmer and more predictable. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Ongoing | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 1-8 | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption List | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Kanban board, WIP policies, Flow metrics | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | DecisionTreeOptions | ForecastingFlowDelivery | FlowVisual managementDelivery | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |