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Criterion
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Purposedifferent
For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
30-90 min15-60 min20–45 min5-20 min
Participantsdifferent
1-62-9Small cross-functional group3-20
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Decision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets
Tagsno overlap
DecisionTreeOptions
EstimationEffortAgile
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
EstimationEffortRisk
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