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Criterion
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration for Failure Scenario Analysis.
Engineering
Failure Scenario Analysis
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.In critical processes, it is not enough to plan only for the normal case. Failure Scenario Analysis looks at the path into failure and shows which failures, chains, and control gaps cause the most damage.IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-180 min1-3 h1-3 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
4-203-82-8Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesFailure Scenarios, Risk Notes, Control Gaps, Test and Response ActionsIssue Map, Positions, Argument NotesRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
FailureResilienceRisk
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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