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Criterion
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Dot Estimation.
Facilitation
Dot Estimation
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowHighLow
Timedifferent
2-6 h5-20 min2-6 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
3-83-203-102-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasEffort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion TargetsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
EstimationEffortRisk
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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